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Application of Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment, Predictive Modeling, and Machine Learning in Food Spoilage Microbial Prediction

學生姓名: 黃鉉喅
指導教授: 凌明沛
學期: 113上
摘  要: Foodspoilageisamajorglobalchallengeforfoodsafety,withmicrobialgrowthbeingthekeyfactorleadingtoqualityissuesinfoodproducts.Toaddressthisissue,quantitativemicrobialriskassessment(QMRA)ormicrobialpredictivemodelscanbeemployedtoforecastthegrowthofspecificspoilagemicroorganismsinfood.ThepurposeofthisstudyistoexploretheapplicationofQMRA,predictivemodeling,andmachinelearning(ML)intheriskassessmentandfoodspoilagemicroorganisms.ThemethodswillestablishaQMRAframeworkforfoodspoilageandapplytheFoodSpoilageandSafetyPredictor(FSSP)tofermentedfishproductstopredictthegrowthoflacticacidbacteriaandtheeffectsonthefermentationprocess.Additionally,Fourier-TransformInfraredSpectroscopy(FTIR)datawillbecombinedwithmachinelearning,utilizingaSupportVectorRegression(SVR)modeltopredictspoilagemicroorganismsinchickenliverproductsanddiscussthesurvivalofSalmonellaatlowtemperatures.TheresultsshowthatfoodspoilageQMRAcaneffectivelyevaluatetheimpactofdifferentstorageconditionsonfoodspoilage,contributingtoenhancedfoodsafetyandprovidingvaluableinsightsforfoodproducers.TheFSSPpredictionresultsindicatethatliquidsmokeandtemperaturesignificantlyaffectthefermentationprocess,andthepredictivemodelidentifiedtheoptimalfermentationconditions,recommendingafermentationtemperaturecontrolbetween20-25°C.ThecombinationofFTIRandmachinelearningaccuratelypredictedthegrowthofspoilagemicroorganismsinchickenliver,includingthesurvivalandgrowthofinoculatedSalmonellaunderlow-temperatureconditions,demonstratingthepotentialofthismethodforrapidassessmentofspoilagemicroorganisms.Toconclude,thethreestudiesillustratethehighefficiencyofQMRAandFSSPinfoodspoilagepredictionandthestrongpredictiveperformanceofcombiningmachinelearningwithFTIR.Thisapproachcanenhancefoodsafetymanagementbyenablingearlypredictionofmicrobialgrowthinfoodandoptimizingstorageconditionstoextendtheshelflifeoffoodproducts.
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