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Pollution Distribution of Microplastics, Organophosphate Esters, and Per-/Poly-fluoroalkyl Substances in River Basins and Application of Machine Learning Models for Microplastic Ecological Risk Prediction

學生姓名: 曹宏菖
指導教授: 凌明沛
學期: 113上
摘  要: OrganophosphateEsters(OPEs)andPer-/Poly-fluoroalkylSubstances(PFAS)arepersistentenvironmentalpollutantscommonlyusedinflameretardantsandplasticizers,andmicroplastics(MPs)canadsorbOPEsandPFAS,posingriskstoecosystemsandhumanhealth.ThisstudyexploresthepresenceofMPsandtheirrelationshipwithOPEsandPFAS,andevaluatestheuseofmachinelearningmodelstopredictMPsconcentrationsinsoilandassessrisks.Thestudyanalyzesdatafromthreeriverbasins:theconcentrationsofMPsandOPEsinsedimentsandbiotaintheLoireRiverBasin,France;theconcentrationsanddistributionofMPsandPFASinsurfacewaterinthePearlRiverBasin,China;andtheuseofvariousmachinelearningmodelstopredictMPsconcentrationsanddistributionintheTaihuLakeBasin,China,alongwithriskassessments.TheresearchresultsindicatethattheconcentrationsanddistributionofMPs,OPEs,andPFASareinfluencedbymultipleenvironmentalfactors.IntheLoireRiverBasin,MPsconcentrationsshowsignificantseasonalandregionalvariations,andfoundoutsmallerparticlesofsedimentshaveagreatercapacityforaccumulation.InthePearlRiverBasinfoundsignificantseasonalandregionaldifferencesinthedistributionofMPsandPFAS.InthePFASanalysis,long-chaincompoundsshowedhigherconcentrations,particularlyinindustrialareas.IntheTaihuLakeBasinrevealsthatMPsconcentrationsinurbanandagriculturalsoilsaresignificantlyhigherthaninforestsoils.Amongthemachinelearningmodels,thesupportvectormachinewithradialbasisfunctionkernelmodeldemonstratedthebestperformanceinpredictingthespatialdistributionofMPs.Insummary,MPsandOPEsintheLoireRiverBasinshownosignificantcorrelationinsedimentandbiotasamples,butsignificantlycorrelatedwithPFASinsurfacewaterinthePearlRiverBasin.ThedistributionofMPs,OPEs,andPFASintheriverbasinsisinfluencedbyvariousfactors.Machinelearningmodelshaveshownpotentialapplicationsinpollutionpredictionandriskassessment.
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